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Showing posts with label Global investing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Global investing. Show all posts

When You Invest

Monday, August 30, 2010

By Syafiq Shaidi We are constantly seeking the right time to invest our money. This is, so that we get to maximise our returns in the future. When you read the papers or tabloids, there will be countless ads calling you to invest. If property investment is the thing, you jump. If the stock market is doing well, you jump.
However, the timing is all that matters. You may have read countless books on Warren Buffett on how he chooses to hold a certain investment for long periods of time. Preferably forever. The difference between him and you can never be more distinct. Questions you should ask yourself would be:
1. Do I have the holding power, ( e g: cash)should might investment turn negative.
2. Have I chosen the right company, industry or country?
3. When do I exit or rebalance my portfolio to take advantage of other opportunities?
If you have invested in property in 1997, it would have taken you at least 13 years just to break even, which is now. You would have bought it at a high price. In investment terms, you're buying the high.
Similarly, if you have bought stock and shares at the height of the economic boom in 2007, chances are, you might be in a loss right now figuring out the best time to get out.
Do you wish you could know a better way on when to invest in anything?
A simple rule adopted by Warren Buffett (the world's richest Investor) is,
" be greedy when others are fearful and be fearful when others are greedy ".
As long as you do not follow the herd, the chances of exposing yourself to risk is greatly reduced. You sell properties at the high. You buy when property prices are low. It is common sense. Unfortunately, it's not so common anymore. Now, people are rushing to bid for the best property sites. There's nothing wrong with that if you are in it for the long term. However, taking your time and having a relook at your investment objectives is a sure-fire way to lead you to investing success.
What professional investors do to the stock market is different from the rest. They buy the low. That means they buy when others are in sheer panic. They buy when the economy is gloomy. They buy when everything is at a bargain. A rule of thumb is to look at the P/E ratio of stocks and indices. A P/E ratio is a n abbreviation of price-to-earnings ratio. When you look at a particular stock listing, look out for this number. Anything that is well below 15 is worth buying. That does not mean that you take into account only that and it will start giving you a fortune. What I am saying here is that it gives you a gauge on how undervalued the company or index is. As at January to March 2009,the P/E ratios of most companies were around 6-8.That's greatly undervalued!
Stock indices like the Dow Jones Industrial index, S&P 500, Nasdaq, STI and many others were well below 15.
If you were to put your money during this times, you would have made at least a 40% gain on your investments in less than a year. For your information, at the height of the economic boom in 2007,most companies were having P/E ratios of around 60!
Definitely not a good time to buy but a good time to sell. Whatever goes up, will eventually come down. Therefore when the market goes down, we want to know when it is really an opportunity to invest. If you wait for a good time for the opportunity to present itself, your returns will be spectacular rather than modest.
So now, you know the very basic thing to look out for before you invest. As my teacher once told me, "never buy the high, never sell the low".
The P/E ratios on average at the point of writing is about 20.Then again, it still is an opportunity depending on where you're investing in. If you remember the pointers, you will know what needs to happen before you can pounce on the opportunity.
Recession.
For more articles you can visit my blog at http://www.syafiqshaidi.wordpress.com

TIPS - Treasury Inflation Protected Securities Fundamentals

By Greg Phelps Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (known as TIPS), are inflation indexed bonds issued by the US Government. But what do they really offer you as an investor and how exactly do they work???
First of all, there's a lot of investor angst regarding future inflationary expectations. After all - it's a normal concern with the government deficit exploding to unfathomable proportions on a minute by minute basis (not to mention interest rates overall are at historically low levels, and when rates revert to the statistical mean inflation is a likely counterpart to that occurrence).
TIPS can be purchased direct from the US government through the treasury, a bank, broker or dealer - or most preferably through a low cost index fund such as DFA Inflation Protected Securities (DIPSX). Individual TIPS are purchased according to an auction process, where you can either accept whatever yield is determined at the auction or set a minimum yield you're willing to accept. In the auction method, if your requested yield target isn't met - your purchase request will not be executed.
TIPS come in 5, 10, and 30 year maturities and are bought in increments of $100. The return of principal AND ongoing interest payments depend on the TIPS principal value adjustment for the consumer price index (the CPI which is the most commonly used measure of inflation). The coupon payment however, is a constant and stays the same for the life of the security. This is where TIPS get a little tricky - while the coupon payment remains the same, the TIP itself fluctuates meaning the actual yield you receive will vary.
With the underlying TIPS unit value fluctuating based on the CPI, each coupon payment interest rate fluctuates (fixed dollar payment divided by a fluctuating par value equals a floating interest rate). So while the principal value fluctuates, the interest rate is fixed. This is how the holder is protected from inflationary pressures. If inflation increases, the underlying TIPS par value increases along with it.
As with the majority of US Government debt obligations, TIPS pay their coupon semi-annually. The index for measuring the inflation rate is the non-seasonally adjusted U.S. City Average All Items Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
In what situations would TIPS be a viable option for your investment portfolio? Take for example an expectation of inflationary pressures over the next five years. If you were to invest in a portfolio of TIPS, as inflation occurs the principal value of the TIPS rises to compensate you for the inflationary pressure. Your coupon payment remains the same, but your TIPS principal investment is worth more.
Now let's look at the opposite of inflation - deflationary pressures. Should deflation occur, your principal value would drop. TIPS do have a backstop for deflation however. The TIPS maturity value payment is the greater of $100 per TIPS unit, or the adjusted current value at that time.
Treasury auctions vary by security type and date, and it's challenging to find relevant samples for different types of issue. However here's some real life examples of TIPS and regular 5 year treasury notes for comparison.
In a recent TIPS auction on April 26th, 2010, 5 year TIPS were priced at 99.767648 (or $99.77 per $100 par value TIPS security) with a rate of.50%. On the same day, the 5 year treasury note yield was sitting right at 2.6%. In this case, the regular 5 year treasury note is yielding roughly 5 times as much as the 5 year TIPS. Seems like a lot to give up for some inflation protection doesn't it? The wide disparity in yield is primarily due to investor expectations of inflationary pressure (investors are willing to accept a lower interest rate for the inflation protection).
There is an upside however. Let's look at a similar 5 year TIPS security issued last year on 4/15/2009. It was issued at $100.11 for each $100 TIPS and a rate of 1.25%. At the same time the normal 5 year treasury note yield was at 1.71% - not nearly the spread of the first noted TIPS example. That same treasury note issue today (June 5th, 2010) is indexed at 1.02858 or each TIPS is worth $102.86.
A 5 year treasury note issued on April 30, 2009 (as close as possible to the last TIPS example) priced at 99.691687 ($996.91 per $1,000 maturity par value) and yielded 1.875%. Today through TD Ameritrade where I custody client assets, that same 5 year note is priced at 101.188 ($1,011.88 per $1,000 maturity par value).
The roughly one year old 5 year treasury note has earned a return of the coupon payment (two payments at $9.375 each plus some accrued interest which we're discounting for this example), plus an increase in principal of $14.97 which equates to a 3.37% return. For comparison, the closest issued TIPS issue from April 15, 2009 has garnered a return of two coupon payments (I'm using 10 TIPS to bring this example to parity with the $1,000 par value treasury note) of $6.25, and experienced an increase in value of $27.48 for a comparative return of 3.99%. In this example the TIPS outperforms the treasury note by a reasonable margin.
Granted, these examples aren't perfect, but they're close for illustrative purposes on TIPS calculations and values compared to treasury note calculations and values.
There are downsides to TIPS however - one being taxes. Should the principal value rise with inflation in a given year you're taxed on the growth (which is NOT distributed, it's only on paper) as if it were income. This creates somewhat of a phantom income tax - you don't actually receive the money, but you're taxed as if you did! The upside of this is you establish a new basis in the security and won't be taxed on it again, and in fact if deflation occurs may have a loss to put on your tax return. Of course, don't take my word for it - please consult your tax advisor.
In addition to the tax issue, there's also political risk associated with the US Government (the rules can change - after all the rules change all the time!) in addition to the fact that the government calculates the CPI (who's to say they've got their calculations right, and are they manipulated for other political or economic reasons?).
While TIPS are great for some investors, they're not right for everyone, and certainly not right for an entire (or even a majority of) portfolio. However, should inflation pick up from these historically low levels over the next five years, the TIPS should comparatively do just fine compared to the regular 5 year treasury notes.
With all of the TIPS calculations noted above, still one of the best ways to hedge inflation is with a diversified portfolio of passive investment assets such as Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA Funds), and other exchange traded funds (ETF's). At Red Rock Wealth Management, our portfolios provide a substantial amount of NON-dollar denominated assets (a great way to hedge against a weak dollar). Client portfolios consist of over 13,000 equity (stock) securities across 41 countries. In addition, many US based companies hold non-dollar assets as well, and the Red Rock Wealth Management portfolio philosophy also holds other tangible assets the government can't "print" - such as gold, oil, and timber.
The point is, through proper investment management your risk associated with inflation can be mitigated substantially through Treasury Inflation Protected Securities AND broad diversification.
Consider adding TIPS to your portfolio for a component of inflation protection, just make sure you fully understand all of the positive AND negative aspects of TIPS!
Greg Phelps is an Financial Advisor & Retirement Planner, and a Fee-Only CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER (TM) in Las Vegas and Henderson, Nevada. With over 15 years of financial industry experience, Greg is an accomplished financial advisor, author, and speaker. Through his financial consultant positions with two of the largest investment banking firms on Wall Street - Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, as well as serving as the Regional Manager of Wealth Management and National Manager of Fiduciary Advisory Services at the 5th largest accounting firm in the country - RSM McGladrey, he's consistently and ambitiously improved his skill and knowledge in the financial planning field. In addition to creating a Free Mortgage Rate Quotes utility for use by financial advisors with their clients, he strives to deliver exceptional financial planning advice and guidance in all areas relevant to his clients, with a specialty focus in retirement financial planning.

3 Reasons Why You Need to Avoid Bonds

By Christopher Fitch Platinum Quality Author There are several points in time where people should find bonds extremely attractive. Unfortunately, midway through 2010 is not one of those times, although one would believe by the outflows of cash from equity based mutual funds into fixed income based mutual funds that this is untrue. Here are three reasons why investors should avoid bonds at this point in time unless, of course, they are willing to hold the actual bond until maturity.
1. Rates. With interest rates at the lowest they have ever been, the only obvious direction they can head is up. In fact, there has been an evident trend over the past several decades that rates were on their way down -- the past decade has shown the clearest signs of a dropping rate trend. Over the past four to five years, that trend has slowed and leveled off. If an investor were to look at bond rates the way one would look at stocks, the trend line suggests quite clearly that rates are about to reverse their trend.
2. Yield Curve. The yield curve is an indicator that is created by bonds themselves. It plots the difference between three month bond yields all the way up to the thirty year bond yields (and everything in between). The current bond yield is telling us that we are about to enter a period of economic expansion. This is in line with what economists have been saying for over a year. The only thing standing in the way of an economic expansion is that technicality known as time. Once the economy starts to expand, rates are guaranteed to increase, resulting in lower market values for bonds.
3. Bond bubble. With so many people shifting money into bonds, many market observers have called this asset class the next "bubble." They draw similarities between tech stocks in the late 90's and early 2000's, to oil in the year 2000, real estate in the year 2006 and so on. Following the popular asset classes will always yield negative results and with so many strong indications to suggest that this asset class is one to avoid, investors would be wise to tread this area extremely carefully in the coming years.
While bonds and the fixed income asset class are a necessary evil in terms of building a properly diversified portfolio, investors need to exercise extreme caution when investing in these areas. These are just three of the strongest arguments for why this asset class should be avoided or, at the very least, exposure should be strictly limited.
--> Consider Growth Funds as an alternative to bond funds. Visit the Mutual Fund Site for more information.
With more than 17 years of financial services experience, Chris is currently the owner of the Mutual Fund Site.org. As well, he manages Gym Exercise Machines.com, a website that provides conversational Elliptical Trainer Reviews.

Reason to invest

Sunday, July 4, 2010

by Funso Oke
It is all in a state of mind, Investing isn't a behavior or just a way of life, investing is meant to be in a state of mind, this is the key term that separate the money makers investors and the pretender investors. Yes many are interested in investing and many seek knowledge about stock, mutual funds, edge funds, real estates and options stocks but only few actually follow though to invest. The focus here is how many people actually follow up with the knowledge they gain from leaning to invest?  Those that did took the initiative to risk their time and money or even their entire savings on investments are those that have the guts to make something happen. As an editor  I have seen many that seek information about investing but they never really take the advantage of the information that they posses as a result they are unable to make things work. To invest and see result means to take the step to practice it, those that don't will never have the chance to taste the joy of investing and the extra funds that they can earn from investing.

Bank of America Savings Account Interest Rate

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

         Bank of America is the one of the best bank and financial institution in the United States of America. You can get good interest rates for your savings and investments made in this bank. This bank is more secure to invest and get maximum returns. I have listed some of the best savings account interest rates which is available in this bank as on June 2010. You have to check the latest rates either online or by visiting the bank when you invest your amount.
For opening a savings account, you have to maintain a minimum balance of $300 per day. The rate of interest is 0.1% and there is no monthly maintenance fee if you maintain the minimum balance that you have to maintain per day. You also get a free internet banking service with your savings account. In case if you do not maintain the minimum balance required, you have to pay charges for the same.
This bank also accepts certificate of deposits as your investment options. The CD interest rates is 1% for a 18 month CD. You can surf for more detailed information. You can also find Bank of America checking account interest rate and bond rates online.
This bank also gives mortgage loans for purchasing new homes or for refinancing. You can find the mortgage rates from the website or by visiting the bank. These rates are fixed based on your type of mortgage loan, your location and your loan amount. These interest rates vary from time to time. So please check the latest rates when you plan for your investments.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Balajee_Kannan

Trading the Globe

Tuesday, June 8, 2010

Time to invest in South Africa.

The Fifa world cup 2010 game that will take place in South Africa will be the fact behind the motion to invest in South Africa stock. All the 32 countries participating in the main event are below

Soccer in South Africa

Group A Group B Group C Group D Group E Group F Group G Group H

FRA        ARG       ALG       AUS      CMR     ITA        BRA       CHI

MEX        GRE      ENG       GER       DEN    NZL         CIV       HON

RSA         KOR    SVN       GHA       JPN      PAR       PRK         ESP

URU        NGA     USA       SRB        NED     SVK        POR        SUI
          With over 32 countries pouring into South Africa, which will bring about 400,000 people all over the world into South Africa and according to cnbc an estimate of $ 52 billion is expected to be spent in South Africa in only 30 days. It is very possible to imagine how this will impact the south Africa economy, this will be a huge stimulus boost for the South African market which was believed to be suffering already. The commodities and stock for the world cup are currently low, dividends are expected to be high, report earning will be attainable and now is a great time to invest in world cup stock in South Africa.
            In the preparation for the world cup South Africa build 10 stadiums worth $2.2 billion, many road infrastructure for $9.1 billion dollars. Currently South Africa is in the top 10 percent of platinum manufactured. South African stock iShares Trust (Barclays Global could increase dividends, EZA is currently trading at $52.64 and it is up +0.46 points for the day. Again it is time to invest in South African stock, invest the globe will be reward from the stock of the South Africa. join us at http://investingport.com/  for more